empty
03.05.2023 01:37 PM
US premarket trade on May 3, 2023. Stock market cautious in anticipation of another crisis

American stock index futures have not yet reacted to oil falling below $70 per barrel. Meanwhile, shares of US regional banks have once again faced significant selloffs in the premarket, as recession prospects and concerns about financial stability put considerable pressure on investors ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Another rate hike is expected which may further exacerbate the situation.

This image is no longer relevant

Futures contracts on the S&P 500 rose by only 0.1%, while the high-tech NASDAQ added 0.2%. Crude oil futures fell to their lowest level since March, and the shares of PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp have already lost about 10% in the premarket trade.

While investors are waiting for a rate decision, 10-year Treasury bonds continued to rise amid demand for safe-haven assets. Traders expect the Fed to raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points at today's meeting, after which it will signal a pause in its aggressive rate-hiking cycle.

Many consider a 25-point rate hike a guaranteed scenario even though the regional banking sector continues to collapse. Fed officials are between persistently high inflation and data indicating a rather modest economic downturn. Recent reports on manufacturing activity have proved this. However, concerns about financial difficulties caused by banking turmoil may influence the committee's decisions. A plunge in the shares of US regional banks PacWest Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp has been seriously worrying Wall Street since yesterday.

This happened just a day after JPMorgan Chase & Co acquired First Republic Bank.

The lack of clarity regarding the US debt ceiling adds to the existing pressure. Therefore, it is no longer surprising why traders rush to buy gold and bonds and avoid risk assets.

This image is no longer relevant

In addition, the US Treasury Department warned that it could run out of money to pay its bills by June 1. So, US President Joe Biden, members of the House of Representatives, and the Senate must come up with a solution.

As for the technical outlook for the S&P 500, its volatility has dropped sharply. Bulls need to do their best to stay at the level of $4,116 and return to $4,150 from where they can head for the next target of $4,184. Another priority for the buyers will be to maintain control of $4,208 to intensify the bullish trend. In case of a decline amid the prospect of a further rate hike and a possible recession, bulls will have to assert their strength at $4,116. Its breakout will push the price back to $4,091 and will open the way to the target at $4,064.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Point of no return: markets break down as US enters bear phase

The US equity market is under pressure as futures spiral, the VIX surges, and Treasury yields plunge—signaling a potential structural crisis. Panic marks the start of Q2 The first week

Anna Zotova 13:29 2025-04-07 UTC+2

Full-blown market drama: USD, Oil, S&P 500, and Big Tech all crashing

Financial markets are shaking again: the S&P 500 is tumbling so fast that veterans recall the COVID-era crash, oil is taking a one-two punch from Trump and OPEC+, the dollar

Аlena Ivannitskaya 12:10 2025-04-07 UTC+2

Recap of US stock market on April 7. SP500 and NASDAQ open new week sharply in red

The US benchmark stock indices closed the New York session on Friday in the red. The S&P 500 plunged by 5.97%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 5.92%. The industrial

Jakub Novak 10:34 2025-04-07 UTC+2

Update on US stock market. Trump's tariffs crash US stocks. Recession realistic, but current market quotes great for buying

S&P500 Market update on April 7. Snapshot of the US major stock indices on Friday:* Dow -5.5%* NASDAQ -5.8%* S&P 500 -6% S&P 500 is trading at 5,074 within

Jozef Kovach 09:40 2025-04-07 UTC+2

Stocks slide sharply as broad tariffs raise recession risk

S&P 500 US equities plunged on Thursday as President Donald Trump's sweeping new tariffs triggered a sharp sell-off and reignited fears of a global recession. The Dow fell by 4%

Jozef Kovach 11:14 2025-04-04 UTC+2

US stock market on April 4: SP500 and NASDAQ suffering heavy losses

As a result of yesterday's regular session, US stock indices closed in the red. The S&P 500 plummeted by 4.84%, while the Nasdaq 100 lost 5.97%. The industrial Dow Jones

Jakub Novak 11:13 2025-04-04 UTC+2

Update on US stock market: Trump strikes at global trade with tariffs and crashes markets

S&P500 Update on April 03 Snapshot of benchmark US stock indices on Wednesday: Dow, NASDAQ, S&P 500: all -2% S&P 500 at 5,535 in the range of 5,500 to 6,000

Jozef Kovach 11:57 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Stock Market on April 2: S&P 500 and NASDAQ Hit New Yearly Lows

At the close of yesterday's regular session, U.S. stock indexes ended in positive territory. The S&P 500 rose by 0.67%, the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.87%, and the Dow Jones Industrial

Jakub Novak 09:13 2025-04-03 UTC+2

US markets show resilience despite tariff concerns and economic weakness

S&P 500 The US stock markets paused ahead of President Trump's anticipated tariff announcements. The major indices ended the session mixed: the Dow Jones closed flat, the Nasdaq gained 0.9%

Jozef Kovach 12:15 2025-04-02 UTC+2

Update on US stock market on April 2: SP500 and NASDAQ regain their footing before crucial event

Following yesterday's regular session, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.38%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.87%. The industrial Dow Jones dipped by 0.04%. Asian indices

Jakub Novak 11:19 2025-04-02 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.