Analisis Forex & Kajian: 02.05.2023 - US premarket trading on May...

02.05.2023 02:01 PM

US premarket trading on May 2, 2023. US stock market may fall

Futures on US stock indices declined slightly after Australia's Reserve Bank raised rates sharply and hinted at a continuation of the tightening cycle. Futures contracts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq each dipped by another 0.2% after both indices closed with a slight decrease on Monday. The European Stoxx 600 index fell by 0.4% due to growth-sensitive energy and real estate sectors.

As for the American banking sector, turbulence eased after the agreement by JPMorgan Chase to buy struggling First Republic Bank. However, investors are concerned that lending will still be significantly restricted, slowing down the economy already under pressure from the most aggressive rate hike campaign in recent decades. Eurozone data reinforced those fears, showing that banks have cut lending more than expected.

The Federal Reserve is anticipated to raise rates by a quarter point in the course of a two-day meeting beginning today. Meanwhile, amid a further increase in eurozone inflation, the European Central Bank is likely to hike rates by 50 basis points at a meeting this week.

Inflation will probably remain high and continue to put pressure on most central banks, and the global economy will have to adapt to new norms.

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.85%, stating that inflation remains too high and further tightening may be required. This pushed the Australian dollar up by 1.2% and raised the Australia 3-year government bond yield by more than 20 basis points.

At the same time, the yield on Treasury bonds fell after a sharp spike at the end of Monday. The bond yields of Germany, France, and Italy initially rose by 10 basis points across the curve and then fell to 5-6 basis points.

Oil prices stabilized after previous losses caused by concerns about China's economic outlook and the impact of banking woes in the US. So far this year, prices have already fallen by more than 5%.

Technically, the volatility of the S&P500 has decreased. It is unlikely that the index will go above the annual highs before the Fed meeting. The bulls need to stay above $4,150, from where a surge to $4,184 may take place. No less important for the bulls is to maintain control over the $4,208 level, which will strengthen the new bull market. In case of a downward movement amid increasing risks of further rate hikes and recession, a breakout through $4,150 and $4,116 would quickly push the trading instrument back to $4,091, targeting $4,064.

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Stock Markets

Jakub Novak,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Pasaran Saham Amerika Syarikat Menunjukkan Pertumbuhan Sederhana

Kemaskini Pasaran Saham untuk 26 Mac: S&P 500 dan NASDAQ Terus Pulih Secara Berperingkat

Pasaran saham AS memperoleh momentum kenaikan baharu. Pelabur menangkap isyarat bahawa pembetulan ke bawah telah berakhir

Pasaran Saham Diambang Kejatuhan

S&P 500: dari euforia ke kejatuhan

Pasaran saham AS pada 24 Mac: SP500 dan NASDAQ mengumpul momentum berikutan berita mengenai tarif

Pasaran AS cuba untuk pulih. Prospek serangan AS terhadap Iran menyokong harga minyak.

Unjuran Pasaran Saham untuk 21 Mac: S&P 500 dan NASDAQ Berdepan Tekanan Sekali Lagi

Pasaran AS dalam fasa pengukuhan. Trump cari sokongan Senat untuk serangan ke atas Iran

Pasaran AS melonjak susulan Fed mengekalkan kadar faedah

Analisis terbaik